United States latest Debt Crisis

14-Jul-2011 | Reggie | Currency FX USA

The United States has run in to a slight problem.  There is an limit on how high their debt can go and unfortunately they have hit that limit.  Since the government is still running a deficit, it is absolutely necessary that this debt ceiling be raised in order for the United States government to continue to function and not default on it’s financial obligations.

 

In order to raise the debt ceiling, its up to President Obama to get the go ahead from Congress.  Congress isn’t making it easy and is wanting some serious spending concessions to be made.  In the midst of this, the United State’s AAA credit rating is being questioned by various rating agencies such as Moody’s and seriously raising investor concerns.  Since some of these concerns have come to light, the US dollar has dropped significantly in value.

 

The deadline is set for August 2nd.  It seems quite unlikely that some sort of deal won’t be reached by then, but investors are on their toes none the less.  The US dollar is and has been the go-to currency for much of the world so the outcome will have very serious consequences.

This blog has been prepared by the Retire First Team. The blog expresses the opinions of the writers and not necessarily those of Retire First Ltd. Statistic and factual data are from sources Retire First believes to be reliable but their accuracy can not be guaranteed. This blog is furnished on the basis and understanding that Retire First is under no liability whatsoever in respect thereof. It is for informational purposes only and is not be construed as an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of securities. Retire First Ltd. And its officers, directors, employees and their family may from time to time invest in the securities discussed in this blog. This blog is intended for individuals where Retire First Ltd is registered as a dealer in securities.

Retire First is a member of the Canadian Investors Protection Fund.

Commission, trailing commissions, management fees and expense all may be associated with mutual funds. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. A recommendation of any of the mentioned investments would only be made after a personal review of individual portfolio. Third Party research has been used in formulating the writer's opinions.

A Nickel for your thoughts?

15-Dec-2010 | kate | Banks Canadian Investing Currency Economics Economy FX Government The Wise Investor

The Canadian senate has been conducting a study since 2008 on the utility of the penny in the Canadian economy, which was presented last night. The penny is being targeted for removal after citing it’s significant as legal tender has diminished over the last sixty years.

For example, the cost to manufacture one penny actually cost around 1.5 cents and balloons to 4 cents when the government factors in shipping and handling to get it from production to costumer hands. So for the government to keep the supply of 30 billion Canadian pennies in circulation, it cost tax payers an estimated 130 million dollars, PER YEAR!

Seigniorage, is referred to difference between the sum of the cost and the face value of the coin and is getting larger with each passing year courtesy to inflation and higher labour and metal prices, while the value of the penny is stuck at 1 cent. The results are a piece of legal tender that cost more than it is worth. Adjusted for inflation, using the earliest records on the penny available, one penny in 1870 (it was introduced in 1858) was worth about 27 cents in 2005.

Another interesting argument against the penny is that only 37% of Canadians (yes I am one of them) actually use the penny. The rest of Canadians place their in saving dishes, fountains or miss place them because they do not find them valuable. Over half of one survey respondents reported that they view the penny as an inconvenience and view it as useless.

Another supporter to abolish the penny heard on CBC this morning, calculated the costs of the penny, time spent waiting for change to be counted and employee productivity levels from handling the penny at several million dollars a year.

Well all these people out there hate the penny, I am one who likes it and was interested by the extra money that it would cost me over my life time if the penny was abolished on cash transactions. Luckily for me, someone else had already wondered the same question and completed some analysis for me to share. Here are the Desjardin Groups findings

Desjardin findings suggest that 816 million pennies are produced annually, just to replace the amount of penny that consumers take out of circulation, some of which are literally thrown in the garbage. If we removed the penny from circulation, like some countries have already done, we would be saving millions of dollars in taxes per year.

Since all decimal points will exist on debit and credit card payments, a method called Swedish rounding will apply to cash transactions. Swedish round is symmetrical meaning that neither sellers nor buyers would profit over time from rounding. Over time, the method would balance out the gains and losses from rounding to the nearest decimal point.

Swedish rounding

A Price of Is Rounded Too
9.98

$10.00

9.99
10.00
10.01
10.02
10.03

$10.05

10.04
10.05
10.06
10.07

If the senate does determine the penny isn’t worth keeping, there will be 12 months notice until the penny is not longer accepted as legal tender.

This blog has been prepared by the Retire First Team. The blog expresses the opinions of the writers and not necessarily those of Retire First Ltd. Statistic and factual data are from sources Retire First believes to be reliable but their accuracy can not be guaranteed. This blog is furnished on the basis and understanding that Retire First is under no liability whatsoever in respect thereof. It is for informational purposes only and is not be construed as an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of securities. Retire First Ltd. And its officers, directors, employees and their family may from time to time invest in the securities discussed in this blog. This blog is intended for individuals where Retire First Ltd is registered as a dealer in securities.

Retire First is a member of the Canadian Investors Protection Fund.

Commission, trailing commissions, management fees and expense all may be associated with mutual funds. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. A recommendation of any of the mentioned investments would only be made after a personal review of individual portfolio. Third Party research has been used in formulating the writer's opinions.

Rumours and Speculation Surrounding the IMF

02-Dec-2010 | Reggie | Banks Commodities Currency Economy

Today the commodities and markets surged as investors are speculating that the IMF is pulling out all the stops to insure nothing even resembling a double dip in the economy and markets occur.  Continued weakness in certain European countries have kept investors feeling quite jittery and sent the cost of capital for these countries skyrocketing.  Meanwhile things have been looking pretty good in North America thanks to some great economic numbers in jobs and consumer spending.

The speculation is that the IMF could come up with a huge sum of money to basically backstop these European nations and keep them from going under.  The ECB said it will offer banks unlimited loans throughout the first quarter.  It really seems like the heads of the national and international banking groups will to go any measure to keep the economies of the world moving in the right direction.

This should help ensure the Santa Claus rally with the surge in investor confidence and continued strength in the commodity markets.

This blog has been prepared by the Retire First Team. The blog expresses the opinions of the writers and not necessarily those of Retire First Ltd. Statistic and factual data are from sources Retire First believes to be reliable but their accuracy can not be guaranteed. This blog is furnished on the basis and understanding that Retire First is under no liability whatsoever in respect thereof. It is for informational purposes only and is not be construed as an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of securities. Retire First Ltd. And its officers, directors, employees and their family may from time to time invest in the securities discussed in this blog. This blog is intended for individuals where Retire First Ltd is registered as a dealer in securities.

Retire First is a member of the Canadian Investors Protection Fund.

Commission, trailing commissions, management fees and expense all may be associated with mutual funds. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. A recommendation of any of the mentioned investments would only be made after a personal review of individual portfolio. Third Party research has been used in formulating the writer's opinions.

The Enigma of Gold Stocks

22-Nov-2010 | Reggie | Commodities Mining

With the price of gold hovering around US $1,350/oz the price of companies that mine and sell gold bullion should be at record highs right?  This is only partially true and a reversal from what would normally be expected.  While the junior gold mining stocks have been doing tremendous, the seniors have been lagging quite seriously behind.  Large companies have always demanded a higher valuation thanks to economies of scale, operations that are established and have been up and running, a multitude of producing projects, and deep pockets.  An article published by the Globe and Mail interview with Tanya Jakusonek attributed the higher valuation of the juniors to nothing but M & A speculation.  Unfortunately, until we see some strength in the stocks of the senior producers this seems fairly unlikely to occur.  Regardless as long as these prices continue, anybody selling gold is making a killing right now.  Those looking to cash in by buying stocks will have to look deeper and should stick to the fundamentals by looking for companies are increasing their production, reducing costs, and still have a decent valuation.

This blog has been prepared by the Retire First Team. The blog expresses the opinions of the writers and not necessarily those of Retire First Ltd. Statistic and factual data are from sources Retire First believes to be reliable but their accuracy can not be guaranteed. This blog is furnished on the basis and understanding that Retire First is under no liability whatsoever in respect thereof. It is for informational purposes only and is not be construed as an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of securities. Retire First Ltd. And its officers, directors, employees and their family may from time to time invest in the securities discussed in this blog. This blog is intended for individuals where Retire First Ltd is registered as a dealer in securities.

Retire First is a member of the Canadian Investors Protection Fund.

Commission, trailing commissions, management fees and expense all may be associated with mutual funds. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. A recommendation of any of the mentioned investments would only be made after a personal review of individual portfolio. Third Party research has been used in formulating the writer's opinions.

News so far this Week

17-Nov-2010 | Reggie | Asia Commodities Currency

Caterpillar buys Bucyrus, maker of mining equipment for $7.6 billion

Caterpillar, the maker of industrial machinery made the offer to purchase Bucyrus early this morning.  Bucyrus specializes in the production of equipment such as drills, shovels, excavators, and mining trucks.  The CEO of Caterpillar, Doug Oberhelman stated that the mining segment is a key strategic area for the company where they see strong demand in the future as urbanization continues in the developing world.  He even went on to say that he believes the mining sector is in the early stages of the cycle.

Chinese Banks basically Shut Down Real Estate Development in an effort to Combat Inflation

While this is being denied by the country’s top four banks, a Chinese state newspaper reported this morning that any credit that was being made available to real estate developers has been taken off the block.  There is a limit to how much can be lent for the purpose annually, and it has been reached.  Chinese real estate prices have been sky rocketing over the past few years which has created fears regarding a bubble and inflation.  It doesn’t seem clear how putting a strangle hold on further development will help to combat rising housing prices…

Sarkozy has had enough of the US Dollar

French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who took over the presidency of the G20 has made his agenda quite clear.  He seriously questions whether the US dollar should act as the world’s reserve currency and what other options may be a viable alternative.  For now there aren’t many viable alternatives and the US will certainly resist any attempt at change put forward.  With a year left in Sarkozy’s reign it should make for a lot of continued discussion on the subject and make for a lot of action in the price of gold while it all happens.

This blog has been prepared by the Retire First Team. The blog expresses the opinions of the writers and not necessarily those of Retire First Ltd. Statistic and factual data are from sources Retire First believes to be reliable but their accuracy can not be guaranteed. This blog is furnished on the basis and understanding that Retire First is under no liability whatsoever in respect thereof. It is for informational purposes only and is not be construed as an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of securities. Retire First Ltd. And its officers, directors, employees and their family may from time to time invest in the securities discussed in this blog. This blog is intended for individuals where Retire First Ltd is registered as a dealer in securities.

Retire First is a member of the Canadian Investors Protection Fund.

Commission, trailing commissions, management fees and expense all may be associated with mutual funds. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. A recommendation of any of the mentioned investments would only be made after a personal review of individual portfolio. Third Party research has been used in formulating the writer's opinions.